Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 3.249038 3.433565 3.629806 3.855236 4.108574 4.386335 4.716503
2025-10-05 3.054507 3.324993 3.629882 4.003995 4.458026 5.001619 5.719101
2025-10-12 2.874512 3.194175 3.569760 4.054018 4.678878 5.485529 6.659806
2025-10-19 2.736322 3.089083 3.517228 4.091962 4.873442 5.953720 7.686071
2025-10-26 2.652406 3.036879 3.517439 4.187381 5.146265 6.569383 9.115877
2025-11-02 2.538136 2.934543 3.440339 4.164943 5.242660 6.934395 10.260557
2025-11-09 2.401450 2.792991 3.298919 4.036134 5.159895 6.990957 10.840583
2025-11-16 2.296648 2.686193 3.195663 3.950402 5.129272 7.124861 11.636500
2025-11-23 2.223029 2.615911 3.136521 3.921909 5.182736 7.413912 12.935023
2025-11-30 2.169182 2.568647 3.105265 3.930560 5.295463 7.834832 14.854339
2025-12-07 2.101440 2.499030 3.038122 3.878318 5.297293 8.035488 16.298432
2025-12-14 2.015904 2.401641 2.926740 3.749815 5.152601 7.903858 16.554682
2025-12-21 1.959085 2.345594 2.877548 3.724780 5.206517 8.253081 19.142716
2025-12-28 1.956036 2.364202 2.937906 3.880602 5.617555 9.569189 29.261723
2026-01-04 1.924688 2.341288 2.935349 3.933072 5.842420 10.543971 43.667108
2026-01-11 1.891891 2.314492 2.924898 3.970600 6.043892 11.567887 75.295193
2026-01-18 1.873940 2.307922 2.944405 4.061260 6.375825 13.233870 365.262145
2026-01-25 1.831975 2.264320 2.903630 4.040247 6.455075 14.083153 NaN
2026-02-01 1.770608 2.190025 2.811230 3.918564 6.283070 13.852937 NaN
2026-02-08 1.721487 2.132383 2.743021 3.837450 6.199070 13.977384 NaN
2026-02-15 1.686789 2.095001 2.705412 3.810473 6.242319 14.704155 NaN
2026-02-22 1.661442 2.070627 2.687396 3.818667 6.373928 15.976550 NaN
2026-03-01 1.625747 2.029608 2.640778 3.769177 6.352119 16.468073 NaN